Ben is joined by journalist Rachel Withers, writer of the Crikey column ‘Well Hung’, to discuss the prospects for independent candidates, including teal and Muslim independents, at the 2025 federal election.
- A 2023 meme from Twitter user Pineapple Crab applying different definitions for a “teal”
- Read my 2023 paper ‘Not Your Parents’ Electoral System‘
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I liken the Teal’s to the Australian Democrats. Left of predominantly female, economic rational, pro-green left of Coalition and right of Labor. To get elected, they need to get between 15-20% of the primary vote and then collect enough preferences to pass the alternative. It is interesting to look back and see where the Democrats had the greatest spport. I went back to 1998 Senate and listed the 30 divisions that voted the greatest percentage for Democrats. Some don’t exist any more but the correlation is significant when you consider there is 27 year difference potentially indicating there will always be an appeal for a Teal/Democrat/Green type candidate in these sort of communities.
19.11% Mayo
17.35% Boothby
17.28% Fraser
16.06% Canberra
15.67% Kooyong
15.37% Sydney
15.02% Melbourne Ports
14.64% Melbourne
14.62% Adelaide
14.53% Higgins
14.50% Sturt
14.41% Ryan
14.02% Deakin
13.71% Brisbane
13.67% North Sydney
13.51% Kingston
13.47% Goldstein
13.04% Chisholm
12.86% La Trobe
12.63% Casey
12.48% Makin
12.25% Jagajaga
11.86% Hindmarsh
11.84% Grayndler
11.65% Macquarie
11.61% Mackellar
11.60% Wentworth
11.57% Bradfield
11.20% Warringah
11.12% Berowra
Im saying yes but this will be neutral and won’t only effect the Libs but Labor as well. There are some seats that won’t vote liberal but are obviously unsatisfied with Labor.