Ben is joined by Andrew Messenger from the Guardian to discuss the final stretch of the Queensland election campaign. We spend most of our time going through the key seats in each region of the state, and the issues that have dominated the campaign.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
This podcast is sponsored by Zencastr. Use my special link to save 30% off your first month of any Zencastr paid plan.
You can subscribe to this podcast using this RSS feed in your podcast app of choice, but should also be able to find this podcast by searching for “the Tally Room”. If you like the show please considering rating and reviewing us on iTunes.
@John if the LNP are winning Waterford they’ll be winning Ipswich West too. I personally don’t think they’ll get get Waterford but I do have Ipswich West as a tossup for the first time since the by-election.
Courier Mail exit poll of 2000 voters. LNP 33.9% ALP 33.6%.
My predictions are pretty similar to Kieran’s, by coincidence, so I will copy his formatting.
Prediction:
LNP: 50
ALP: 36
GRN: 2
KAP: 3
IND: 2
LNP GAIN: Barron River, Bundaberg, Caloundra, Cook, Gaven, Hervey Bay, Keppel, Mackay, Mirani, Mulgrave, Mundingburra, Nicklin, Redcliffe, Redlands, Thuringowa, Townsville
ALP GAIN: Ipswich West
IND GAIN: Rockhampton
No gains for Greens or Katter.
It will be interesting if fewer people decided to prepoll compared to last time which was in the middle of a pandemic we saw that in the ACT more people may have wanted to enjoy a democracy sausage
Antony Green says 44% voted early whilst 38% voted early in 2020.
Thanks @votante in the ACT last week it was the opposite
@np yea I don’t think they will but ipswich west will likely go back to Labor in my opinion
@ john
Greens too high max of 4
Kap between 4 and 7
Ind 2
Ipswich West is a special case alp wins back
Kap could win Cook mulgrave one Townsville seat in add to yr 4…. but I think alp will keep Cook and Mulgrave and who knows about the Townsville seat.
Total either small lnp majority or Hung parliament