Ben is joined by Andrew Messenger from the Guardian to discuss the final stretch of the Queensland election campaign. We spend most of our time going through the key seats in each region of the state, and the issues that have dominated the campaign.
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I’m not sure where I can comment this since the Queensland open thread is now locked but here are the federal and BCC results for state seats that I’ve worked out so far (excludes postals and for some seats it excludes prepolls if there are no PPVCs in that seat):
Federal results (TCP):
* Clayfield: 52.4% LNP vs Greens
* Cooper: 56.6% Greens vs LNP
* Maiwar: 57.2% Greens vs LNP
* McConnel: 60.2% Greens vs LNP
* Miller: 60.9% Labor vs LNP
* Moggill: 50.8% LNP vs Greens
Council results (TCP):
* Clayfield: 66.8% LNP vs Greens/Labor
* Cooper: 52.9% LNP vs Greens
* Maiwar: 51.7% LNP vs Greens
* McConnel: 53.0% LNP vs Greens
* Moggill: 64.3% LNP vs Greens
Before Christmas I should have a full set of comparisons (federal vs state vs local) for all of the inner-city seats. I will also do a federal vs state comparison for Cook in FNQ. Feel free to request any other seats for me to look at. Obviously safe seats like Traeger and Warrego will be obviously the same but city seats will be different (as will Cook).
Love your enthusiasm @NP, although I’m dubious about the value of comparing state v federal results, especially when Queensland has had a Labor government for all but five years since 1989, and has consistently favoured the Coalition since 1996 (2007 notwithstanding). I suspect your findings will confirm that voters vote on state issues and federal issues separately and are collectively nuanced enough to understand the difference.
@Real Talk it’s mostly to show that in the city voters are happy voting for moderate LNP candidates but not for the more conservative federal party. I’m aware that Queenslanders often vote differently on the federal and state level (I’m a Queenslander myself) but I still think it’s interesting. I’ve compared results in NSW before for teals to show that the NSW Liberals being more moderate helped them stop voters going to teals and that’s why the teals only just got a seat in NSW at a by-election where a controversial MP resigned (Pittwater, which I think will go back to the Liberals in 2027).