Today I’m heading to south-western Sydney, with a map showing Leppington, Camden and some surrounding seats.
This map shows Leppington and Camden surrounded by Macquarie Fields and Campbelltown to the south-west and Badgerys Creek to the north-east.
Swing data thanks to William Bowe’s estimates of 2019 results by 2023 polling place.
Swings to Labor were most consistently strong across Camden. Leppington was more of a mixed picture. Labor’s best area in Leppington prior to this election was at the southern end of the seat, around Raby and Eagle Vale. This part of the seat is more established and has lower growth rates, and it barely swung at all. The faster growing areas in the north of the seat swung more strongly to Labor. I included the other Macarthur seats as a comparison – some swings were large in Campbelltown and Macquarie Fields, but they were more patchy than in Camden.
When you switch to the percentage view, there are two clear strips of support – Labor tended to poll in the 70s in the more established suburbs of Campbelltown, but solidly polled in the high 50s or low 60s through the high-growth suburbs in Leppington and Camden.
Ben – Should this read as Campbeltown?
“Labor tended to poll in the 70s in the more established suburbs of Camden”
No 70 2CP in Camden.
Also note the dividing Liberal/Labor line of Camden Valley Way. With more development occuring right up Northern Road to the Airport, this line may be breached in 2027. But Labor will need to deliver for these new suburbs (schools, etc..) over this term to keep them.
Quite right, thanks for picking it up.
Comments are closed.