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David Feeney was an unpopular local member, given the comparison between the Senate and House of Representatives votes for Batman at the 2016 election, I estimate personal vote of was -4%.
Labor’s vote should go up by a fair bit in this by-election and allow Labor to win the by-election even if the Liberals don’t run. The Greens will win the booths south of Bell street, wont win ones North of it.
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