I have now posted the Tally Room guide to the upcoming Griffith by-election. The Griffith by-election is expected early in 2014 to replace former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, who announced his retirement earlier this week.
The seat will be quite vulnerable to the LNP, with a 3% margin and the loss of Rudd’s substantial personal vote. On the other hand, it’s very rare that a government wins a seat off the opposition at a by-election, even a very new government.