Just a quick post to let people know that the next major election will be the German federal election, to be held this Sunday 22 September.
Due to the Australian federal election, I haven’t had time to engage in this campaign, but polling suggests a collapse in support for the junior government party Free Democratic Party, a decline for the Left Party and an increase for the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats.
You can download the German federal constituency maps for 2009 and 2013 on the Tally Room maps page.
Somehow I suspect that Merkel and the CDU will be leading a coalition after this election – the big question is whether it’ll be a right-of-centre coalition like since 2009 or a “grand coalition” like for 2005-2009, although the latter sent the SPD vote into freefall in 2009. But the outcome will be quite interesting, given that Germany is supposed to be THE powerhouse of the EU.
Report of a pre-election poll
German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s centre-right coalition is set for a photo finish with her rivals, the final poll the day before elections showed.
Merkel’s conservatives scored 39 per cent, with her pro-business allies, the Free Democrats (FDP), on six per cent in the Emnid survey to appear in Sunday’s Bild weekly.
Her main rivals, the centre-left Social Democrats, scored 26 per cent and their preferred allies, the ecologist Greens, won nine per cent.
Together with the far-left Linke party, the combined leftist opposition garnered 44 per cent in the poll compared to 45 per cent for Merkel’s coalition.
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However, the Linke has been rejected as a coalition partner by all major parties.
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/world/german-election-too-close-to-call-poll-20130921-2u77c.html#ixzz2faZ39HQ6
Remarkable turnaround for the FDP – from one of their best (if not best – they may have done better in the early 50s) results last time to relegation this time. Westerwelle is a goose.
Smart people those Germans.
DB – more Christian Democrat than Liberal?
In a paradox David Leyonhjelm and his friends might do well to remember, it seems the FDP has lost in part because of vote switches to the more eurosceptic Alternative fur Deutschland; combined the FDP and AfD, both of which would fit within the broad description of “classical liberal” commanded about 9.6% of the vote, but neither has a single MdB.
here we go. Yeh DB everyone wants to be Germany…
Observer
Posted September 23, 2013 at 10:36 PM
Yes, in Europe anyway…..
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