McEwen was the closest seat at the 2007 election, and this time it’s one of the closest again. Currently the Liberal Party’s Donna Petrovich leads the ALP’s Rob Mitchell by 331 votes, which amounts to a margin of 50.19%.
McEwen covers parts of northern Victoria to the north of Melbourne, including Sunbury, Craigieburn, Seymour, Gisborne and Puckapunyal.
Click here to read my pre-election profile of McEwen.
Mitchell’s 66-vote lead was turned into a lead for Petrovich on Tuesday, with nothing more happening since then.
Over 8000 postal votes have been counted, with another 4000 to come along with 6000 other special votes.
The analysis is based on the breakdown of the electorate into four sub-areas, the same used in the pre-election profile.
| Voter Group | GRN % | PUP % | LIB 2PP % | LIB swing | Total votes | % of ordinary votes |
| Hume | 6.65 | 7.79 | 44.57 | 9.44 | 20,819 | 32.74 |
| South-East | 7.99 | 5.84 | 48.84 | 6.45 | 18,441 | 29.00 |
| Mitchell | 5.46 | 7.95 | 50.61 | 7.31 | 13,552 | 21.31 |
| Macedon Ranges | 9.91 | 6.11 | 54.69 | 9.04 | 10,780 | 16.95 |
| Other votes | 5.54 | 6.42 | 54.06 | 20,076 |
The ALP polled most strongly, with 55.4%, in the Hume area at the southern end of the electorate, despite a 9.4% swing to the Liberal Party.
In 2010, Labor won a majority in all four areas, but large swings across the electorate has created Liberal majorities in Macedon Ranges and Mitchell.
Below the fold, view two-party and swing maps for the electorate.
