New Zealand election results live

1:34 - As I wrap up tonight, and presumably after most NZ readers have gone to bed, I wanted to explore the question of why the National Party has won so many more seats than Labour, giving them an overhang and producing a right-wing...

Labor MLCs swap regions as nominations near in Victoria

Nominations close on Monday for the Victorian state election, but the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) has been gradually publishing candidate names on their website as nominations are accepted. It is typical for the bigger parties to announce their candidates some way out, but it has...

Is this the end of the two-party-preferred?

For the last four decades, each federal election produced a full two-party-preferred (2PP) count for the whole country - adding up who ranked Labor or Coalition higher across the country. This figure has been a useful measure of the direction of the country, and...

Podcast #172 – New Zealand’s MMP shows the strain

Ben is joined by James Mulrennan from The Overhang to discuss this weekend's New Zealand election - the parties, the polls and the ways in which New Zealand's electoral system might play out in circumstances very different to past elections. https://youtu.be/lcmrlAsfG5w This podcast is supported by...

Second Tally Room Live show in Melbourne

The first Tally Room Live podcast recording in Melbourne, on Tuesday December 1, is now sold out! Thank you to everyone who bought tickets. I've been able to organise to stay in Melbourne for another night and put a second event on for Wednesday December...

Podcast #171: Victorian election catch-up

A month out from the Victorian state election, Ben and Benita Kolovos from the Guardian discuss the last four years of Victorian politics, the issues dominating the lead-up to the election, the impact of One Nation and the race for the upper house. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b2evO8a7XpA This podcast...

Podcast #170: OPV in the 21st century

In the final part of 'Just Vote 1', Ben runs through how parties encouraged voters to not number preferences to get a political advantage as first One Nation and then the Greens became major sources of preferences. Ben also considers who might benefit from OPV...

Victorian candidate update – will it be bigger than 2022?

I have recently completed another update of my candidate list for the Victorian state election, and you should now see longer lists of candidates on my seat profiles. I thought I would knock together a blog post analysing the trends and trying to compare the...

Grab the first ever Tally Room merch!

With the Victorian state election coming up, and the first Tally Room live show, I thought I would have a go at making some merchandise for the Tally Room. This is the first time we've ever done this, and I'm not yet clear on how...

New DemosAU MRP – how a small swing costs a lot of seats

DemosAU has now published four MRP polls over the last year - the very large polls that involve projecting the result in every seat. DemosAU is one of two pollsters publishing regular MRPs, along with Redbridge. These MRPs are useful for giving us a...