Podcast #133: Final week of the Queensland election

Ben is joined by Andrew Messenger from the Guardian to discuss the final stretch of the Queensland election campaign. We spend most of our time going through the key seats in each region of the state, and the issues that have dominated the campaign. This...

Victorian federal redistribution – final margins

The AEC released the final maps and data for the Victorian federal redistribution earlier today. In this blog post I'm going to post my final estimates of primary votes, two-party-preferred and two-candidate-preferred margins for each seat. At the end I've also posted the final...

Mapping the candidate vote in the ACT

Under Hare-Clark, a party's total vote is not the only thing that matters for how many seats you win. In a close race, the relative distribution of votes between your candidates can make a difference. A party with more than one quota can sometimes be...

Victorian wards and the size of the ballot

The number of distinct electoral contests in Victorian councils has shot through the roof this year. There were 260 in 2016, 298 in 2020, and 465 this year, as the mandate imposing single-member wards across all large councils outside of the City of Melbourne...

The presence of parties in Victorian councils

As part of the nomination process for the 2024 Victorian council elections, each candidate was asked to fill out a questionnaire. One of the questions was whether the candidate was endorsed by a party. Not everyone did the survey, but most candidates did. This...

New Victorian council guides published

The Victorian council elections are now upon us - ballot papers are in the mail now, and will be counted on the day of the Queensland election, October 26. I previously completed the first half of my council guide, covering the first 16 of 33...

Podcast #132: ACT election preview

Ben is joined by Jasper Lindell from the Canberra Times to preview the upcoming Australian Capital Territory election, with a Labor-Greens government facing the voters after 23 years of Labor government and 16 years of the Greens in the balance of power. This podcast is...

NSW federal redistribution – final margins

The Australian Electoral Commission today published the maps and data for the final boundaries for New South Wales for next year's federal election, which makes it possible to calculate final margins and show maps of the new boundaries. After the fold, the map shows the...

Queensland candidates announced

Nominations closed today for the Queensland state election, with the full list of candidates now announced. I have compiled my spreadsheet and am still working on collecting links for all the candidates and plan to have the final candidate lists up by tomorrow morning. Overall there...

Black by-election triggered in South Australia

Former Liberal leader David Speirs resigned from parliament today, after his house was raised by police in relation to a video published last month, not long after his resignation from the leadership. I have now published my guide for the Black by-election, which I expect...