Understanding the different redistribution methodologies
The AEC published a fact sheet today with their estimates of margins for each electorate changed by the recently-completed federal redistributions.
There are a few pretty big differences between their estimates and my own, and I wanted to explain what I think is going on....
Werribee by-election due soon in Victoria
A state by-election will need to be held in early 2025 for the western Melbourne seat of Werribee. This by-election was triggered by the retirement yesterday of Tim Pallas, a long-serving Labor minister who has served as Treasurer since 2014.
Werribee lies on the western...
SA redistribution finalised
South Australia's Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission published the final version of the state redistribution yesterday, to come into effect at the next state election in March 2026.
Compared to the draft redistribution, the EDBC has generally made the changes even more minimalistic, reversing changes in...
2025 federal election guide now live
The Australian federal election will be held at some point in the first half of 2025, and I have now completed my guide to all 150 electorates.
I published guides for 50 seats in mid-2023, but electorates in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia...
Prahran by-election incoming
There will be a by-election for the Victorian state seat of Prahran coming up soon, likely at the start of 2025.
Sam Hibbins won the seat for the Greens in 2014, and again in 2018 and 2022. He quit the party earlier this month after...
Podcast #136: Victorian council election results
Ben is joined by Leo Puglisi from 6 News and Chris Eddy from Local Government News Roundup to wrap up the Victorian council elections.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You...
Victorian council election needs an inquiry
Following the recent conclusion of the Victorian council elections, there was a call yesterday from the Greens for an inquiry into the conduct of the recent council election.
These sorts of inquiries are standard for federal elections, and for state elections in a number of...
Black by-election live
8:41 - We now have the two-party-preferred from every election day booth and I'm led to believe that's all we'll get tonight. Labor's 2PP is now sitting on 60.6%. This compares to 47.5% on the election day vote in 2022, a swing of 13.1%....
Victorian councils 2024 – assessing the partisan results
For this post, I am looking at how the parties have done in the Victorian council elections, and I run through a quick summary of how each council went.
As of the time of writing, all but three of the wards I am tracking have...
The key stats from the Victorian council elections
We are now coming towards the end of the Victorian council elections. For the councils I have been covering, final primary votes have been recorded for all wards, and in the vast majority the winners have been determined and preferences distributed.
For this post I...