The decline of the star candidate in Tasmania

One feature of the recent Tasmanian state election result was a surprisingly small number of candidates reaching a quota on primary votes, despite the quota being lower than any election in the last quarter century. Just four candidates reached a quota: the leaders of the...

Informal rates up in Tasmania with bigger parliament

It's no surprise that the informal rate increased at the recent Tasmanian state election, but I wanted to explore how high the rate went, and what might explain it. Tasmania has a rule that voters must number as many boxes as there are seats to...

Stop holding state by-elections alongside council elections!

This is a message for the state of Queensland, who've now done this at the last two rounds of council elections in 2020 and 2024. For each council election, two state by-elections were held at the same time: for Bundamba and Currumbin in 2020, and...

The mismatch in Brisbane’s booth results

When I was analysing the 2020 Brisbane City election results at the start of the year, I noticed an inconsistency. I've now identified that the same issue is true of the 2024 results, and I wanted to clarify what is going on. This issue only...

BCC – postal voting down, but pre-poll voting holds its own

Now that we have the final results for the Brisbane City Council election, we can assess how people chose to cast their votes, and how that fits into the historical trend. A slow decline in election-day voting accelerated dramatically in 2020, with the election held...

Cook by-election live

9:06 - I'm going to wrap up here. This was a very comfortable Liberal victory, with a primary vote currently sitting on 62.7%. 8:28 - They have finished counting the primary votes for all election-day and pre-poll booths, and the Liberal Party is on 62.6%...

Tasmanian LC candidates announced

Nominations have been declared for three Tasmanian Legislative Council elections, with polling day on May 4. Tasmania's upper house is never fully dissolved, with two or three of the fifteen electorates up for election each year over a six-year cycle. This year, the seat of Hobart...

The impact of OPV in Brisbane

Now that we have the final voting figures for the City of Brisbane, it was possible to update the analysis of preference flows and the impact of optional preferential voting (OPV) that I published prior to the election. Immediately after the election, it became clear...

New datasets now published

I have been spending the last few weeks adding a bunch of extra data to the Tally Room data repository, This repository contains tidy data for state and local elections that I have found useful for my data analysis. Often this data is published...

Tasmania produces a very proportional result

The recent Tasmanian election was very interesting and complex to follow, right down to the final preference distributions, but it also did a good job of translating votes into seats. The House of Assembly was expanded in size from 25 to 35, and with that...