Podcast #154: Tasmania votes for another hung parliament
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham and Chris Monnox to discuss the results of the Tasmanian state election and prospects for the formation of a new government.
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Tasmania 2025 – the close races
Tasmanian election results can often be simplified to totals for each party in each electorate. But votes aren't cast for parties, they're cast for candidates. When candidates are elected or excluded, preferences don't always flow to fellow members of the same party (or "leakage")....
Despite hopes of breaking a deadlock, Tasmania votes for status quo
There were some noticeable swings in the Tasmanian election, and there will be some changes in the Assembly, but overall the result seems to have produced a Parliament with a similar balance of power. That's not great news for the government, because the outgoing...
Tasmanian election night live
10:56 - All of the pre-poll booths that were due to be counted tonight have now reported. So I don't expect any more results to come in tonight.
Right now the numbers for the parties in the parliament look about the same following the election....
Tasmanian election day
8:00 - Polls have just opened for election day for Tasmania's 2025 state election.
I won't be blogging during the day today, but I will be covering the results tonight in a separate live blog. I'm also going to try posting some updates on Instagram...
Comings and goings in Tasmanian politics
Hare-Clark is basically unique amongst Australian electoral systems because there is a realistic possibility that a member of parliament will lose their seat to a fellow member of the same party - indeed it happens fairly regularly. Another unusual feature is the use of...
Podcast #153: Tasmania’s election landscape
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the latest Tasmanian state polls and go through Tasmania's five electorates one by one, discussing the race and possible winners in each division.
We refer extensively to Kevin Bonham's blog post breaking...
Queensland’s state redistribution kicks off
This weekend's Tasmanian state election is likely to be the last major election in 2025, barely halfway through the year, but that means the rest of this year will be redistribution season.
Two federal redistributions, in Queensland and Tasmania, are set to resume later this...
How have countbacks performed in NSW?
I wrote a blog post last weekend about how the NSW government has been sneaking in a change to how council vacancies are filled into a bill that is billed as primarily ending the privatisation of council election administration.
Since then I've had the chance...
How do votes turn into seats in Tasmania?
You need a quota to win a seat in a Tasmanian House of Assembly election. But in practice no-one polls exactly a quota. In reality, the final seats are decided by partial quotas and the distribution of preferences.
Yet these patterns are not random -...