Hastings – Victoria 2014

LIB 9.6%

Incumbent MP
Neale Burgess, since 2006.

Geography
South-eastern fringe of Melbourne, including the northern and western shores of Western Port. The seat covers Hastings, Tooradin, Somerville, Cranbourne South and French Island, in the cities of Casey and Frankston, and Mornington Peninsula Shire.

Map of Hastings' 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Hastings’ 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Hastings lost the suburbs on its northern boundary to Bass and Cranbourne, and gained parts of Langwarrin from Cranbourne. Hastings also lost areas on its western boundary to Nepean and Mornington. These changes cut the Liberal margin from 10.8% to 9.6%.

History
The electoral district of Hastings was created in 2002. At the time it was considered to have a notional Liberal margin of 7.3%, but was won in 2002 by the ALP candidate, Rosy Buchanan, who won the seat with 50.85% of the vote.

In 2006, a small swing to the Liberal Party saw Buchanan defeated by Neale Burgess. Burgess was re-elected in 2010.

Candidates

  1. Scot Leslie (Country Alliance)
  2. Paul Madigan (Independent)
  3. Derek Fagan (Greens)
  4. Neale Burgess (Liberal)
  5. Steven Hosking (Labor)
  6. Colin Robertson (Rise Up Australia)
  7. Robert Andersson (Independent)

Assessment
Hastings is a reasonably safe Liberal seat, outside of Labor landslide elections.

2010 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Neale Burgess Liberal 21,656 54.10 +9.58 53.37
Steve Hosking Labor 12,262 30.63 -9.78 31.90
Catherine Manning Greens 3,073 7.68 +0.66 6.94
Joe Mavrikos Sex Party 994 2.48 +2.48 2.25
Melanie Marcin Family First 775 1.94 -2.89 2.23
Dan Martin Country Alliance 670 1.67 +1.67 1.45
Rob Jones Democratic Labor 381 0.95 +0.95 1.09
Aldona Martin Independent 218 0.54 +0.54 0.52
Other independents 0.25

2010 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Neale Burgess Liberal 24,379 60.78 +9.79 59.60
Steve Hosking Labor 15,278 39.22 -9.79 40.40
Polling places in Hastings at the 2010 Victorian state election. Central in green, North in orange, South in blue. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Hastings at the 2010 Victorian state election. Central in green, North in orange, South in blue. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Hastings have been divided into three areas: Central, North and South.

The Liberal Party won a majority in all three areas, ranging from 58.5% in the south to 62.1% in the centre.

Voter group GRN % LIB 2PP % Total % of votes
North 7.06 59.19 11,521 29.92
Central 6.30 62.07 9,496 24.66
South 7.33 58.45 7,472 19.41
Other votes 7.13 60.18 10,013 26.01
Two-party-preferred votes in Hastings at the 2010 Victorian state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Hastings at the 2010 Victorian state election.

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